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Farm Wind AEP Estimator

Annual energy estimate for a 20 kW wind turbine via Weibull statistics — honest small-wind math.

20 kW-class machines on windy farms (6.5+ m/s mean) can offset serious daytime load. Estimate AEP here, then multiply by your tariff to set the payback conversation with vendors.

12 MWh
Annual energy production
7.0%
Capacity factor
617 MWh
Per MW installed

AEP integrates a standard cubic power curve (cut-in 3, rated 12, cut-out 25 m/s) over the Weibull wind distribution fitted to your mean speed and shape factor. Screening accuracy ±10% — bankable studies need the OEM curve and on-site met data.

Sources: Weibull wind statistics; IEC 61400-12 AEP methodology; Typical hub-height resource — Windy farm belt

Engineering estimate from published standards and typical equipment data. Site conditions, equipment datasheets and measured data govern the real result — confirm with a qualified engineer.

Use the free Farm Wind AEP Estimator online — Annual energy estimate for a 20 kW wind turbine via Weibull statistics — honest small-wind math. Runs instantly in your browser: no signup, no upload, mobile-friendly.

About Farm Wind AEP Estimator

20 kW-class machines on windy farms (6.5+ m/s mean) can offset serious daytime load. Estimate AEP here, then multiply by your tariff to set the payback conversation with vendors.

How to use Farm Wind AEP Estimator

  1. 1Enter the turbine rating and your site's mean wind speed at hub height.
  2. 2Adjust the Weibull shape factor for your wind regime.
  3. 3Read AEP, capacity factor and energy per MW installed.

Why use Farm Wind AEP Estimator?

  • Weibull statistics — how wind is actually distributed, not just averaged
  • Numerical integration over a standard power curve, transparent assumptions
  • Regional wind-speed and shape-factor presets
  • AEP, CF and per-MW yield for instant comparisons

Frequently asked questions

How is annual energy production estimated from mean wind speed?+

Mean speed alone underestimates badly — energy lives in the distribution's gusty tail. The Weibull fit (mean + shape factor k) reconstructs the full speed histogram, and integrating the power curve over it gives AEP within ±10% of professional screening tools.

What is the Weibull shape factor k?+

It describes wind steadiness: k≈1.6–1.9 means gusty/variable (some temperate sites), k≈2 the common default, k≈2.5–3+ remarkably steady trade winds (Brazil's northeast, parts of Tamil Nadu). Same mean speed, different k, can move AEP 10–15%.

What mean wind speed makes a site viable?+

Rough gates at hub height: below 5.5 m/s rarely pencils for grid-scale; 6.5–7.5 m/s is solid; above 8 m/s excellent. Small wind needs the same speeds at far lower hub heights — which is why most residential sites fail (see the small-wind tools for honest math).

Why does the Farm Wind AEP Estimator differ from my consultant's number?+

Screening vs engineering: this integrates a standardized power curve over fitted statistics; bankable studies use the OEM's exact curve, on-site met-mast data, wake and loss models. Expect ±10% agreement — close enough to rank sites and sanity-check claims, not to finance them.

Embed Farm Wind AEP Estimator on your website

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